Science News

Weekly Recap of Local weather and Power Information # 427

The week that was: 2020-10-17 (October 17th, 2020)

Presented by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)

The science and environmental project

Quote of the week:: “It is well known that (scientific) reputation is difficult to build and easy to lose. However, rebuilding is even more difficult. "- Professor Leonid Tsybeskov, New Jersey Institute of Technology (Physics today, October 2020, page 10) (H / t George Hacken)

Number of the week: 99%

THIS WEEK:

By Ken Haapala, President of the Science and Environment Policy Project (SEPP)

Nobel Prize: Last week, TWTW checked the impending energy crisis: Are power outages inevitable? by Donn Dears. Loved ones discussed how the previous day's power generation auctions are distorting the electricity market by favoring non-dispatchable, unreliable, subsidized forms of power generation over dispatchable, reliable forms. The main forms of unreliable, subsidized forms are wind and sun (wind is used here for brevity). In the US, when daily weather forecasts show that the winds are favorable, the industrial wind can bid as low as it wants, but it receives the highest successful bid amount – the clearing price.

When the winds are unfavorable, the industrial wind doesn't have to offer. The responsibility for providing electricity rests with others, usually at a high cost to the consumer. In short, a reliable power grid is undermined by the flexibility of the industrial wind to cater in favorable winds with no consequence in adverse winds. This undermining of a reliable network is an unintended consequence of the auction system.

This week, two Americans were awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics for their work on how auction designs have unintended consequences. The auction format influences both the information available and the various bid strategies. For example, if power auctions were to take place two weeks before the delivery date, Industriewind would be cautious with its bids – weather forecasts are not so good.

The work of economists has nothing to do with the energy markets, but the concept applies. The unintended consequences of using day-ahead auctions to determine which electricity offers are accepted can result in the lowest cost to the consumer for that day. However, such an auction format can cost the consumer dearly over time. Writes in Master Resource, Bill Peacock expresses concern that Texas may experience power outages similar to California's. He describes the system of pricing as "Predatory Pricing". See Article 1, Subsidies and Mandates Forever and https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/economic-sciences/2020/press-release/

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No wind today: Thanks to the Climate Change Act 2008 on Wellbeing, Great Britain is far further into an electricity crisis than the USA. The law prescribes a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by a total of 80% by 2050 in accordance with the UN Kyoto Protocol.

“The Kyoto basket includes the following six greenhouse gases: carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O) and the so-called F-gases (fluorocarbons and perfluorocarbons) and sulfur hexafluoride (SF6). Each gas is weighted and aggregated according to its global warming potential to get the total greenhouse gas emissions in CO2 equivalents. "

Note that water vapor, the most common greenhouse gas, is missing from the Kyoto list. This is one reason why UN climate science is highly questionable and all subsequent calculations of global warming potential are misleading.

Last week, UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced that every home in the UK will be powered by offshore wind by 2030, quadrupling wind capacity in ten years. Initial estimates by Gordon Hughes, who researched the economics of wind energy, suggest that the task could cost consumers £ 27 billion a year. There does not seem to be an excessive cost to citizens when self-righteous politicians go green. Hughes has promised a more complete study in the near future. A September 2020 report by Hughes and John Constable stated:

“The dramatically falling costs for renewable energies are a political, a media and a discussion cliché today. However, the claim is proven to be false. Audited accounts show that wind power is by no means cheaper, but actually more expensive. The failure of the UK public service to recognize this fact, and thereby protect consumers and taxpayers from the consequences of the impending failure of the renewable energy sector, raises important questions about the analytical skills of the Whitehall machine. "

Although the UK pricing system is different from the US system, neglect of the necessary backup is a common problem with those who claim wind costs are falling. Since the cost of offshore wind is primarily a cost of capital, the so-called green jobs will mainly go to the countries that make wind turbines and to companies that use the concrete and steel needed for massive foundations.

Nature quickly showed that Johnson only fools himself and those who believe him. On October 14th, the National Grid, which operates the UK Grid, reported that there may be a shortage of electrical energy for the next few days due to lack of wind. As John Constable wrote, the UK power grid is fragile and growing.

See links under survey of European Green, Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Solar and Wind

https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/Glossary:Kyoto_basket#:~:text=The%20Kyoto%20basket%20encompasses%20the,sulphur%20hexafluoride%20(SF6).

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UN weather weapons: Last week TWTW linked a review by Anthony Sadar to Joe Bastardi's new book "The Weapon of Weather in False Climate War": Perhaps "extreme weather" is just weather. As if to promote Bastardi's new book, the UN Bureau of Disaster Risk Reduction has stated that climate disasters have doubled in the past 20 years (2000-2019). The report claims:

“In the period from 2000 to 2019, 7,348 disaster events were registered, in which 1.23 million people were killed. It affected 4.2 billion people (many more than once), causing global economic losses of around $ 2.97 trillion.

“This is a sharp increase over the past twenty years. Between 1980 and 1999, 4,212 natural disasters worldwide were associated with natural hazards, killing approximately 1.19 million people and affecting 3.25 billion people, resulting in economic losses of around $ 1.63 trillion. "

It goes on to say:

“Asia has seen the most catastrophic events. In total, there were 3,068 catastrophic events in Asia between 2000 and 2019, followed by 1,756 events in America and 1,192 events in Africa.

“In terms of affected countries worldwide, China (577 events) and the United States (467 events) reported the most catastrophic events, followed by India (321 events), the Philippines (304 events) and Indonesia (278 events). These countries all have large and heterogeneous land masses and relatively high population densities in vulnerable areas.

"Overall, eight of the ten countries are in Asia after disasters."

Economic improvements will increase the cost of disasters, but not deaths. Apparently the authors are unaware of the massive famine, drought, and flood deaths that repeatedly hit China, India, and other countries prior to 1980. The worst drought in the US was in the 1930s.

As stated in TWTW on December 28, 2019, Our World In Data has reported a massive drop in the number of people living in extreme poverty. Before COVID-19, deaths from extreme poverty decreased rapidly. The use of fossil fuels provided sanitary conditions, clean drinking water, access to electricity and other clean fuels for cooking, improved health, education and living standards, greatly improved nutrition, better health care, etc.

The current allegations are among the worst UN reports ever published. It can be argued that the United Nations is so focused on setting up its $ 100 billion a year Green Climate Fund that it will report anything, no matter how ill-founded. See links under Defense of Orthodoxy, Interviewing Orthodoxy Better Communicating with the Public – Make up, December 28, 2019 TWTW and https://ourworldindata.org/

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Change goals: The International Energy Agency is a Paris-based autonomous intergovernmental organization founded in 1974 as part of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development after the 1973 Oil Crisis. At one time it was necessary to counter OPEC and fears that the world would soon run out of oil. The IEA has been a useful reporting agency for international energy issues.

Now it is evident that the fear of running out of oil was premature at best. Unfortunately, the IEA has advocated wind and solar power, and their reports are less than stellar. For example, it has been reported that solar is or will become the cheapest source of electricity. The claim is pure nonsense. Civilization doesn't stop when the sun fades and disappears. The question becomes what does solar energy cost at midnight? The work of the IEA has been heavily influenced by the political inclinations of its leaders, so work, like the work of the United Nations, must be approached with caution. See the links under Communicating Better With The Public – Making Things Up.

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Another methane? At room temperature, laughing gas (N2O), also known as laughing gas, is a colorless, non-flammable gas with a pleasant, slightly sweet smell and taste. It is used as an anesthetic in surgery and dentistry. It is also made in agriculture and from fertilizer. Based on a study in the journal Nature, it is claimed as a greenhouse gas to be 300 times more potent than carbon dioxide. The "science" mentioned in the abstract of the paper is Assessment Report 5 of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (AR 5, 2013). This is a big problem with work.

The IPCC modelers take into account the effect of water vapor on the overall effect of greenhouse gases only after the calculations have been completed. Then water vapor is added. As a result, the calculated global warming potential of various gases is distorted, since water vapor is present in the earth's atmosphere. This is similar to the problem of calculating the global warming potential of methane in the absence of water vapor. As described in the TWTW of September 12th and 19th, the presence of water vapor eliminates the global warming potential of methane. With nitrous oxide, water vapor practically eliminates its global warming potential. See the links under Communicating Better With The Public – Making Things Up.

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Number of weeks: 99%. Frank Macchiarola, senior vice president of politics, economics, and regulation at the American Petroleum Institute, criticizes California Governor Gavin Newson's order to ban the sale of internal combustion engines:

"According to the US Environmental Protection Agency, research and development has driven manufacturers over the past 30 years to reduce emissions from internal combustion engine pollutants by 99% to meet EPA emissions standards. The US Department of Energy also found that research and development has led to improvements in engine performance and efficiency. "

When 99% is nearly accurate, the advances made by automotive engineers and oil companies in the internal combustion engine are remarkable. See links under California Dreaming.

Comment: Is the sun rising?

Low solar activity is colder than normal European winter 2020/21

By P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, October 16, 2020

Challenging Orthodoxy – NIPCC

Climate change covered II: Physics

Idso, Carter and Singer, lead authors / editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2013

Summary: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/documents/CCR/CCR-II/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf

Climate change reconsidered II: Biological effects

Idso, Idso, Carter and Singer, Lead Authors / Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2014

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts

Summary: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf

Climate Change Covered II: Fossil Fuels

By multiple authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates and Singer eds., Non-Governmental International Panel on Climate Change, April 2019

http://store.heartland.org/shop/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/

Free download:

Why Scientists Disagree with Global Warming

The NIPCC Scientific Consensus Report

By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter and S. Fred Singer, Non-Governmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), November 23, 2015

Home

Free download:

https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming

Nature, not human activity, rules the climate

S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008

Global Sea Level Rise: An Analysis of the Data

By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Policy Brief, May 20, 2019

Challenging Orthodoxy

UN disaster reporting is a huge mistake and an embarrassment

Press release, GWPF, October 12, 2020

UN claim "Stunning increase in climate emergencies since 2000"

From Paul Homewood, not many people know, October 13, 2020

Link to UN report: Human Costs of Disasters: An Overview of the Past 20 Years 2000-2019

By contributor: Center for Disaster Epidemiology Research (CRED), United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR), 2020

Half of the corals are dead – but not in real life

By Jennifer Marohasy, Her Blog, October 15, 2020

Link to questionable paper: Long-term shifts in the colony structure of coral populations along the Great Barrier Reef

By Andreas Dietzel, Michael Bode, Sean R. Connolly and Terry P. Hughes, Royal Society B proceedings, October 14, 2020

https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rspb.2020.1432

From the summary: "In the northern and central regions of the Great Barrier Reef, the declines after the bleaching of bulk corals were particularly pronounced in 2016 and 2017."

(SEPP comment: in the long term ends in three years?)

Half the reef has been destroyed, but the data will not be published

By Jo Nova, Your Blog, October 16, 2020

http://joannenova.com.au/2020/10/half-the-reef-destroyed-but-they-wont-release-the-data/

(SEPP comment: See link directly above.)

Climate "weeds" versus "altitude" survey

By Rud Istvan, WUWT, October 13, 2020

The West Intends Energy Suicide: Will It Work?

By Tilak Doshi, Forbes, October 10, 2020 (H / t GWPF)

https://www.forbes.com/sites/tilakdoshi/2020/10/10/the-west-intends-energy-suicide-will-it-succeed/#12c88044490e

"The judging panel is in: Modern economic growth has not shown that a country can develop successfully without the simultaneous use of fossil fuels, and ordinary people around the world are fully aware of this."

A quick note on airplanes, clouds, and global warming

By Patrick Michaels, CEI, October 15, 2020

https://cei.org/blog/brief-note-airplane-clouds-and-global-warming

Link to the paper: The contribution of global aviation to anthropogenic climate protection for the years 2000 to 2018

By D. S. Lee et al. Atmospheric environment, September 3, 2020

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231020305689?via%3Dihub#!

What the pandemic taught us about science

By Matt Ridley, Rational Optimist on Oct 9, 2020

http://www.rationaloptimist.com/blog/what-the-pandemic-has-taught-us/

(SEPP Comment: Complete post from Ridley's paper published in the Wall Street Journal and discussed in TWTW last week.)

Defend Orthodoxy

UN warns of climate catastrophes that have doubled in the last 20 years

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, October 13, 2020

(SEPP Comment: Good review of outrageous UN report.)

Go on, doctor!

From Paul Homewood, not many people know, October 16, 2020

Link to the report: Provision of a national health service "Net Zero"

By staff, NHS, October 2020

From the report: "The NHS must also respond to the health emergency that climate change brings about and that must be embedded in everything we do now and in the future."

"The NHS must also respond to the health emergency that climate change brings and that must be embedded in everything we do now and in the future."

(SEPP comment: And how many die in operating theaters and intensive care units when the power goes out?)

European Parliament votes for economic suicide

From Paul Homewood, not many people know, October 12, 2020

The heads of state and government of the EU disagreed on new climate targets for 2030

By Samuel Petrequin, AP, Via Washington Post, October 15, 2020

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/eu-leaders-divided-over-new-climate-goals-for-2030/2020/10/15/55142d54-0ece-11eb-b404-8d1e675ec701_story.html

SSE boss praises wind power!

From Paul Homewood, not many people know, October 16, 2020

The company's website states, "SSE Renewables is a leading developer and operator of renewable energy in the UK and Ireland."

Protesters are damned … German draft law wants to raise unstable green energies to the status of "national security"!

By Jouwatch, (translated / edited by P. Gosselin), No Tricks Zone, October 13, 2020

Questioning Orthodoxy

Experts say

By John Robson, Climate Change Nexus, October 14, 2020

"As for predictions in advance, what are they, scientists who test hypotheses against subsequent data, or just scientists who say?"

UN in the event of a disaster: if you can't, you scold

By Donna Laframboise, Big Picture News, October 14, 2020

A geological perspective of polar bears

By David Middleton, WUWT, October 11, 2020

Peak Climate Religion: UN says the earth should become an uninhabitable hell

By Jo Nova, Your Blog, October 14, 2020

http://joannenova.com.au/2020/10/peak-climate-religion-un-says-earth-to-become-uninhabitable-hell/

(SEPP comment: The UN no longer believes its own numbers.)

This game is difficult

By John Robson, Climate Change Nexus, October 14, 2020

"Because … all the effects of climate change are bad."

To Paris!

Europe admits that the Paris Agreement will fail

By Donn Dears, Power For USA, October 14, 2020

Why prolong the pain? Countries must end their harmful allegiance to the Paris Agreement

By Vijay Jayaraj, WUWT, October 17, 2020

Social benefits of carbon dioxide

Warming nights, longer growing seasons, and a greener planet

By Patrick Michaels, CEI, October 15, 2020

https://cei.org/blog/warming-nights-longer-growing-seasons-and-greener-planet

Link to the paper: Global variation of the daily asymmetry in relation to temperature, cloud cover, specific humidity and precipitation and their association with the leaf area index

By Daniel T. C. Cox et al. Global Change Biology, September 30, 2020

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.15336

I'm looking for common ground

Sir Samuel Brittan (1933-2020)

By staff, GWPF & The Spectator, October 12, 2020

Do you do your own research?

By Kip Hansen, WUWT, October 12, 2020

(SEPP Comment: Before Matt Ridley's paper, an article in Forbes claimed it was too difficult to do your own research. This paper discusses both arguments.)

Question everything but you-know-what

By John Robson, Climate Change Nexus, October 14, 2020

Science, Politics and Evidence

A new approach to Covid-19

Letter from 12 Conservative colleagues to the Times:

Posted by Matt Ridley, Rational Optimist on Oct 10th 2020

http://www.rationaloptimist.com/blog/a-new-approach-to-covid-19/

"If Lockdown was a treatment that was undergoing a clinical trial, the trial would be stopped because of the side effects."

Energexit

By John Robson, Climate Change Nexus, October 14, 2020

That governments pay attention to constituents is also the whole point of public election theory, as government members react to incentives in the same way as those in the private sector. But the incentives are inherently different as it is primarily about power and votes, not profits. It's far easier to be wrong. However, we continue to develop one program at a time, assuming that it does not and that mere motives push self-interest aside. You won't do it.

Review of current scientific articles from CO2 Science

The resilience of sea urchin larvae colonization under ocean acidification

Espinel-Velasco, N., Agüera, A., Lamare, M. 2020. Sea urchin larvae show resistance to ocean acidification at the time of colonization and metamorphosis. Marine Environmental Research 159: 104977. October 16, 2020

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V23/oct/a7.php

Interactions between carbon dioxide and salinity in four sorghum genotypes

Keramat, S., Eshghizadeh, H. R., Zahedi, M. and Nematpour, A. 2020. Growth and biochemical changes of sorghum genotypes in response to carbon dioxide and salinity interactions. Cereal Research Communications 48: 325-350; 332 October 14, 2020

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V23/oct/a6.php

How dangerous (or unusual) is a temperature rise of 2 ° C above pre-industrial levels?

Margaritelli, G., Cacho, I., Catala, A., Barra, M., Bellucci, L. G., Lubritto, C., Rettori, R. and Lirer, F. 2020. Persistently warm Mediterranean surface water during Roman times. Scientific Reports 10: 10431, doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-67281-2. October 12, 2020

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V23/oct/a5.php

Models v. Observations

Massive ozone hole over Antarctica casts doubt on restoration claims

By staff, GWPF & Sky News, October 11, 2020

(SEPP Comment: 2016 video in which the "healing" of the ozone hole over the Antarctic is questioned.)

Are climate researchers too cautious when associating extreme weather with climate change?

By Hannah Hickey, University of Washington, October 14, 2020

https://phys.org/news/2020-10-climate-scientists-cautious-linking-extreme.html

Link to the paper: Can the issuing of warnings about dangerous weather conditions influence the assignment of extreme events to climate change?

By Dale Durran, BAMS, September 2, 2020

https://journals.ametsoc.org/bams/article/101/8/E1452/345616/Can-the-Issuance-of-Hazardous-Weather-Warnings

(SEPP Commentary: Assuming the entire rise in surface temperatures is due to greenhouse gases – a false premise.)

Measurement problems – surface

New video: Changes to the US temperature record (part 2)

By Tony Heller, His Blog, October 12, 2020

https://realclimatescience.com/2020/10/new-video-alterations-to-the-us-temperature-record-part-2/

Mismatched GHCN data shows that Durban, a city in the KwaZulu-Natal province of South Africa, has been on a cooling trend since 1885!

By Kirye, Tony Hellers Blog, Oct 12, 2020

https://realclimatescience.com/2020/10/ghcn-unadjusted-data-show-durban-a-city-of-kwazulu-natal-province-in-south-africa-has-seen-a-cooling-trend- since 1885 /

Changing weather

David Simon: "Let's be serious, more CO2 does not make the earth" uninhabitable "."

By Robert Bradley, Jr.Master Resource on October 22, 2020

"And EM-DAT (The International Disaster Database) data shows that the number of people killed by natural disasters has fallen from nearly 55,000 a year to less than 10,000 a year since 1920."

Fires of 1910

By Tony Heller, His Blog, October 12, 2020

https://realclimatescience.com/2020/10/fires-of-1910/

Video: Great Fires of 1910

By Tony Heller, His Blog, October 13, 2020

https://realclimatescience.com/2020/10/great-fires-of-1910/

(SEPP Comment: There is no support for the claim that forest and prairie fires are on the rise.)

Our mornings were warm: blame the blob!

By Cliff Mass, Weather Blog, October 14, 2020

https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2020/10/our-mornings-have-been-warm-blame-blob.html

Change climate

Climate change likely caused early human species to become extinct, according to a model study

Press release, Cell Press, October 15, 2020 (H / t WUWT)

https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2020-10/cp-ccl100720.php

Link to the paper: Earlier extinctions of homo species associated with an increased vulnerability to climate change

From Pasquale Raia et al., One Earth, Oct 15, 2020

https://www.cell.com/one-earth/fulltext/S2590-3322(20)30476-0?utm_source=EA

(SEPP comment: Just shows how unique H. sapiens is! They can take cold and heat.)

Changing seas

Unannounced reconstruction of the 2000 year global ocean temperature reveals embarrassingly small modern changes

By Kenneth Richard, No Tricks Zone, October 12, 2020

Link to Paper: Robust Global Ocean Cooling Trend for the Pre-Industrial Common Era

Helen V. McGregor et al. Nature Geoscience, August 17th, 2015

https://www.nature.com/articles/ngeo2510

Altering the cryosphere – land / sea ice

Greenland and the 1950s Climate Consensus

By Jim Steele, Landscapes and Cycles, Oct 13, 2020

http://landscapesandcycles.net/greenland-and-the-1950s-climate-consensus–.html

New study: East Antarctica was up to 6 ° C warmer than it is today during the Medieval Warm Period

By Kenneth Richard, No Tricks Zone, October 15, 2020

Link to the second article: Thermal legacy of a great paleolake in the Taylor Valley in East Antarctica

as evidenced by an electromagnetic survey in the air

From Krista Myers et al. The cryosphere, September 25, 2020

Lower standards

Nature gives up science and advocates a unified totalitarianism

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley, WUWT on October 17, 2020

Communicate better with the public – use yellow (green) journalism?

Climate change is a factor in most of the 7,000 natural disasters in the last 20 years: UN report

By Rebecca Beitsch, The Hill, October 12, 2020

https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/520651-climate-change-a-factor-in-most-of-the-7000-natural-disasters-over

One study found that ocean warming killed half of the corals in the Great Barrier Reef

By Justine Coleman, The Hill, Oct 10, 2020

https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/520933-study-finds-ocean-warming-has-killed-half-the-coral-in-great

Communicate better with the public – exaggerate or be vague?

Climate change has a cow and worm problem

Scientists discovered a disturbing feedback loop

By Justine Calma, The Verge, Oct 7, 2020

https://www.theverge.com/21505736/climate-change-cattle-livestock-infectious-disease-methane

Link to the paper: Infectious diseases, livestock and the climate: a vicious circle?

By Vanessa Ezenwa, Trends in Ecology & Evolution, October 7, 2020

https://www.cell.com/trends/ecology-evolution/fulltext/S0169-5347(20)30227-5

From the paper: “Methane is a greenhouse gas that affects global warming 28 to 36 times more than CO2. Over the past decade, atmospheric methane concentrations have increased rapidly, and around half of that increase is related to emissions from farm animals, particularly ruminants (2). Here we argue that persistent climate change not only increases infectious diseases in animals (1), but that pathogens in turn can worsen methane production in animals, leading to a potentially malignant climate-disease cycle. "

(SEPP comment: The opening sentence only applies to artificially dried laboratory air. Only a few cows live in artificially dried laboratories.)

Communicate better with the public – make things up.

Solar is now the "cheapest electricity in history," confirms the IEA

By multiple authors, Carbon Brief, October 13, 2020

(SEPP Comment: How much of that cheap electricity can you buy for a million dollars at midnight?)

New UN climate series: Alarm report contradicts its own data

By Edwin Timmer, De Telegraaf, Trans GWPF, October 14, 2020

New UN climate series: Alarming report contradicts its own data – De Telegraaf

From Paul Homewood, not many people know, October 15, 2020

(SEPP comment: Homewood publishes the exponential curve, which describes: “Occurrence of natural disasters, reported in EMDAT: 1900 – 2003.)

Booker & The BBC & # 39; s Endless Bias

From Paul Homewood, not many people know, October 13, 2020

“The misuse of the EM-DAT disaster database is not limited to the corrupt UN. Readers may recall an IPPR report by Roger Harrabin which ridiculously claimed, "Since 2005, the number of floods has increased 15 times, extreme temperature events 20 times and forest fires seven times elevated."

Claims about the dramatic loss of Great Barrier Reef corals are false

Coral expert meets media reports

Press release, GWPF, October 15, 2020

Claim: New research: nitrous oxide emissions 300 times as strong as CO., Endanger the future of the earth

By Charles Rotter, WUWT, October 12, 2020

Link to the paper: A comprehensive quantification of the global nitrous oxide sources and sinks

From Hanqin Tian et al. Nature, October 7, 2020

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2780-0

Communicate better with the public – conduct a survey?

India, China and the US are the biggest climate skeptics, new poll

By Pippa Neill, Environmental Journal, October 15, 2020

https://environmentjournal.online/articles/india-china-and-the-us-are-the-biggest-climate-sceptics-new-survey/

(SEPP comment: What percentage of respondents live on a subsistence level?)

Communicate better with the public – use propaganda

Carbon dioxide emissions must not exceed the values ​​from 2019 to 2027: analysis

By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, October 13, 2020

https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/520776-carbon-dioxide-emissions-may-not-surpass-2019-levels-until-2027

(SEPP Comment: Photo of Invisible CO2 Creating a Pink Sky.)

Communicate better with the public – protest

Protest stunt by nine German Tree Hugger idiots leads to a huge traffic jam on the autobahn, a "horror crash"

By P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, October 14, 2020

Extension of Orthodoxy

Just the fabricated facts, sir

By John Robson, Climate Change Nexus, October 14, 2020

"When he called on NATO to fight climate change, its Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg started an Op Ed." When I grew up in Norway, I learned at school that temperatures in Svalbard, the arctic home of the polar bear, would hardly rise above freezing point. "If so, he should have got a D or another teacher, because the average summer temperatures in Svaldbard, the arctic home of the polar bear, have been routinely above freezing point since 1910."

“Although Stoltenberg, who interestingly enough was never a soldier but was recruited for peace activism by his communist sister and had a KGB code name while working for the Norwegian government, he said:“ NATO must also be ready to respond to climate-related disasters Exactly like during the COVID-19 crisis. "

(SEPP Comment: The head of NATO from Norway does not know the history of the Arctic? He undoubtedly understands the CO2 effects on climate change or military strategy.)

Questioning European greenery

Green Con: The UK energy giants refer to their dirty fuel as green

By contributors, The Sunday Times, Via GWPF, October 10, 2020

“Regardless of what tariff you have, every household in the country receives exactly the same energy from the National Grid. Even if you signed up for a 100 percent green electricity supplier, you get 40.6 percent gas, 2.1 percent coal and 17.3 percent nuclear power. Only 37.1 percent come from renewable energies, including wind, sun and bioenergy. "

Boris Johnson's promise to bring wind power to every home could cost consumers £ 27 billion a year.

By Staff, The Sunday Telegraph, Via GWPF, October 11, 2020

Lack of wind sparks UK Energy Alert

By staff, Daily Telegraph, Via GWPF, October 15, 2020

"The news comes just a week after Boris Johnson promised to quadruple UK offshore wind capacity to 40 GW in the decade. This is part of a so-called green industrial revolution that the Prime Minister believes will be in the next 10 years Could create millions of jobs. "

The media is finally getting familiar with the problems with wind power

From Paul Homewood, not many people know, October 10, 2020

Wind farm farce that blew up £ 1.4 billion of your money! As Boris Johnson trumpets his vision of powering every home with turbines, we reveal the botched scheme that will inflate the bills for 20 YEARS

Boris Johnson has stated that wind power is the future of UK energy

However, research has shown that turbine owners are paid on the odds

Officials set the subsidy rate so high that it is called a "license to print money".

By Sam Greenhill, Daily Mail, Oct 9, 2020

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8824707/Windfarm-farce-blew-1-4billion-taxpayers-money.html

Ask green elsewhere

The other boot falls

By John Robson, Climate Change Nexus, October 14, 2020

"If it sounds like pork is green now, you get the idea." Canada

The political games continue

Climate Science and Supreme Court

By Judith Curry, Climate Etc. October 16, 2020

Litigation

Barrett, Senate Supreme Court candidate, alerts climate alarmists

By Myron Ebell, CEI, October 16, 2020

https://cei.org/blog/supreme-court-nominee-barrett-senate-testimony-alarms-climate%C2%A0alarmists

State of Delaware v BP America Inc, et al.

By Russell Cook, The Gelbspan Files.org, October 13, 2020

State of Delaware v. BP America Inc, et al.

(SEPP Comment: Some law firms believe there is no need to substantiate their allegations – if they are to save the world.)

Supreme Court to resolve frivolous climate lawsuits

By Craig Richardson, Real Clear Energy, October 13, 2020

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2020/10/12/the_supreme_court_is_takingcriticalstep_towards_resolving_frivolous_climate_suits_580452.html

Maui participates in the Climate Litigation Campaign

By William Allison, EID, October 13, 2020

Maui Joins Climate Litigation Campaign As Plaintiffs’ Attorneys Seek To Gain From “Disgorgement Of Profits”

Subsidies and mandates forever

Wind Subsidies and Predatory Pricing in Texas (Part III: Time for Regulators to Investigate Predatory Pricing in Texas?)

By Bill Peacock, Master Resource, Oct 15, 2020

Wind Subsidies and ‘Predatory Pricing’ in Texas (Part III: Time for Regulators to Investigate Predatory Pricing in Texas?)

“It turns out that consumers are being chased by the pricing practices of the renewable industry, which are government sponsored and encouraged. And nobody in the government seems to care. "

(SEPP Comment: The PUC is the Public Utility Commission of Texas.)

Wind subsidies and "Predatory Pricing" in Texas (Part II: Damage to ERCOT)

By Bill Peacock, Master Resource, Oct 14, 2020

Wind Subsidies and ‘Predatory Pricing’ in Texas (Part II: Harming ERCOT)

“Market prices tend to turn negative when consumer demand is low and heat generators who have chosen to stay online cannot be further scaled back to allow available, lower cost wind generation to meet consumer demand. In such situations, some wind generators are restricted in order to balance the generation with the load. In these cases, being the marginal generation, Wind sets the market price, which can be low or negative. In 2017, system-wide negative prices occurred within 64 hours. in 2018, from August, for 30 hours. "

Energy Problems – Non-US

IEA: Energy investments to fall by 18% in 2020

The World Energy Outlook 2020 report calls for faster structural changes, but praises solar as the “new king” of electricity

By Dominic Ellis, Energy, October 14, 2020

https://www.energydigital.com/oil-and-gas/iea-energy-investment-drop-18-2020

Link to the World Energy Outlook 2020

By staff, IEA, October 2020

https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2020#

How is Britain's most efficient wind farm doing?

By Andrew Montford, GWPF, Oct 14, 2020

How is Britain’s Most Efficient Windfarm Doing?

"We can therefore say with some certainty that the offshore wind fleet as a whole is destroying wealth at a remarkable rate."

(SEPP Comment: According to Orwellian logic, politicians refer to throwing public money at a loser as an "investment".)

The UK will provide offshore wind to every home by 2030

By Charles Kennedy Oil Price.com on October 6, 2020

https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/UK-Looks-To-Power-Every-Home-With-Offshore-Wind-Energy-By-2030.html

See link directly above.

Energy issues – Australia

The Renewable Energy Saving Extension Cord in South Australia is now priced at $ 2.4 billion

By Jo Nova, Your Blog, October 10, 2020

http://joannenova.com.au/2020/10/extension-cord-to-rescue-renewable-south-australia-will-now-cost-2-4-billion/

Energy issues – USA

We need blackouts

By Donn Dears, Power For USA, October 16, 2020

We Need Blackouts

Solar energy costs 2-3 times as much as wind, fossil fuels and nuclear power

By David Middleton, WUWT, October 13, 2020

(SEPP Commentary: Comparing Claims to Data Such as Average U.S. Wholesale Electricity Prices by Generation Technology (2019))

Exposing the greening of Pennsylvania's environmental activists in 2020

By Hayden Ludwig and Kevin Mooney, Real Clear Energy, October 14, 2020

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2020/10/14/exposing_the_eco-activists_greening_of_pennsylvania_in_2020_580648.html

Washington's control of energy

Congress proposes major government intervention in the energy markets

By H. Sterling Burnett, The Heartland Institute, October 15, 2020

https://www.heartland.org/news-opinion/news/special-edition-on-energy-legislation–congress-proposes-more-government-intervention-in-energy-markets

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Calls for Carbon Pricing

By Marlo Lewis, Jr.CEI on October 16, 2020

https://cei.org/blog/federal-energy-regulatory-commission-calls-carbon-pricing

Oil and Natural Gas – The Future or the Past?

OPEC rejects the forecast that global oil demand has peaked

The cartel of oil exporting nations assumes that demand will continue to rise through the late 2030s

By Jillian Ambrose, The Guardian, Oct 8, 2020

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2020/oct/08/opec-rejects-projection-that-global-demand-for-oil-has-peaked

(SEPP Comment: Forty years ago, OPEC rejected predictions that the world would run out of oil around the year 2000!)

Alternative, green ("clean") sun and wind

Strike to Britain's electricity supply: National Grid warns that lack of wind could plunge Britain into darkness

By Francesca Washtell, Daily Mail, October 15, 2020 (H / t GWPF)

https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/article-8844697/National-Grid-warns-lack-wind-plunge-Britain-darkness.html

Link to: The Brink of Darkness: Britain's fragile power grid

By John Constable, GWPF, 2020

https://www.thegwpf.org/content/uploads/2020/06/Constable-Brink-of-Darkness.pdf

(SEPP comment: Will climate change be blamed for this?)

Hywind, low profitability: The cost of floating offshore wind power

By Andrew Montford, GWPF, Oct 16, 2020

Hywind, Low Economics: The Cost of Floating Offshore Wind Power

“Unfortunately, according to recent Hywind reports, there is a cost to this improved performance. At £ 264 million, the scant 30 MW capacity cost backers £ 8.8 million per megawatt. This equates to £ 3.5m for fixed offshore wind (which operates at a much lower load factor) and £ 0.6m for gas turbines (which can operate at much higher). The project supporters pay three times the price for fixed offshore wind for a slightly higher output. "

“All of this means that the underlying economics of the project are appalling. Hywind only had electricity sales of £ 5m and the underlying position is a loss of around £ 15m. Even so, developers won't be overly concerned. Government subsidies brought in another £ 29 million, so you're pretty much sitting on a profit of £ 13 million. "

Floating wind farm to sink supporters?

By Andrew Montford, GWPF, Oct 15, 2020

Floating windfarm to sink backers?

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Energy – Others

Hydrogen future would triple energy bills

From Paul Homewood, not many people know, October 16, 2020

Hydrogen Future Would Triple Energy Bills

California dreams

California's policy of failed climate change

By Daniel Kolkey, Real Clear Energy, October 15, 2020

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2020/10/15/californias_failed_climate_change_policy_580860.html

California's Energy Dreamin

Frank Macchiarola Real Clear Energy October 14, 2020

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2020/10/13/california_energy_dreaming_580493.html

BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE

The UN warns that the world could become an “uninhabitable hell” for millions of people if the heads of state and government do not take climate protection measures

By Helen Regan, CNN, October 13, 2020

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/13/world/un-natural-disasters-climate-intl-hnk/index.html?utm_content=2020-10-13T12%3A19%3A04&utm_term=link&utm_source=twCNN&utm_medium= Social

Climate repairs

By Charles Rotter, WUWT, October 14, 2020

Naomi Oreskes: Exxon has misled the public about climate change

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, October 16, 2020

(SEPP comment: More from Oreskes with no evidence.

ITEMS

1. The Nobel Prize in Economics is awarded to US scientists

The price was shared by two Americans for inventing new auction formats

By Paul Hannon, WSJ, October 12, 2020

https://www.wsj.com/articles/nobel-prize-in-economic-sciences-is-awarded-to-u-s-academics-for-invention-of-new-auction-formats-11602496403?mod=hp_lead_pos10

TWTW summary: The reporter writes:

"US. Scientists Paul R. Milgrom and Robert B. Wilson were awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics to gain new insights into how auctions work and how different auction designs can help buyers and sellers achieve their goals.

"Monday's announcement gave the US a clean rundown of this year's Nobel Prizes, with at least one American citizen winning in each of the five categories for which individuals were selected.

"There has been a huge investment in research in the US, and it has paid off," said Göran K. Hansson, Secretary General of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, which awards the Economics Prize.

"Auctions play a huge role in setting the price of many of the goods and services that people use on a daily basis, although their reach is not always appreciated, even by those who have studied them for decades."

After discussing a personal testimony, the article continues:

“Applying the knowledge and new designs developed by Dr. Milgrom and Wilson were particularly important in allocating public goods such as radio frequencies, fishing quotas and airport landing sites.

“While governments and taxpayers want to maximize their income from the sale of these goods, the risk is that they will be too successful and force the winner to pay enough to be able to provide the service associated with it – B. mobile phone connections or flights – is affected. Understanding how auction formats match complex goals can help you avoid such outcomes.

"Their findings could also help hospitals and governments protect protective equipment from competition and increase its price during a pandemic, as it did this year when a shortage of personal protective equipment and ventilators led to high prices," said Dr. Milgrom at a Stanford University press conference where both winners are professors.

"Your theory has benefited buyers, sellers, taxpayers, end-users and society at large," said Tommy Andersson, a member of the Nobel Economics Committee.

"DR. Wilson, who was born in Geneva, Neb., Got his first taste of auctions as a boy by participating in cattle auctions on Saturday morning and watching the cows being sold one by one.

“The auctions he later developed, however, are much more complicated. For example, a bidder in a radio spectrum auction might want two licenses that cover different areas. If the licenses are sold individually, the bidder could buy the first license at too high a price so that he cannot afford the second and then cannot use the first.

"Our auction should enable the assembly of efficient packages," said Dr. Wilson. "This is not the problem you encounter when showing off cattle individually in the local ring." These are not unique pieces that show no complementarity. "

"Thanks in part to the work of the two economists, auctions now play a huge role in setting the price of many everyday goods and services."

The article concludes with more personal topics.

******************

2. Science, uncertainty, and pandemic

Science fixes mistakes as science advances.

Letters, WSJ, October 16, 2020

https://www.wsj.com/articles/science-uncertainty-and-pandemic-response-11602887080?mod=opinion_major_pos16

Matt Ridley's essay, "What The Pandemic Taught Us About Science" (Review October 10) is flawed. Science fixes mistakes as science advances. Citing the errors of some scholars, Mr. Ridley ignores studies conducted by highly credible scientific institutions such as the National Academies of Science, Engineering, and Medicine that provide knowledgeable, objective, apolitical, independent, public assessments of scientific evidence relevant to important topics are . Such institutions have a responsibility to say exactly what is known from science, what is not known and what uncertainties exist.

TWTW agrees that science fixes bugs as science advances. Given that TWTW ignores what is measured in the atmosphere in its fight against the greenhouse effect, it strongly questions the statement: “Highly credible scientific institutions such as the National Academies of Science, Engineering and Medicine, the experts, objective, apolitical , independent public evaluations of scientific knowledge relevant to important topics. "

Mr Ridley promotes Sweden's experience during the pandemic and does not mention Finland. Here is the most recent data, with Finland first and Sweden second: deaths per 100,000 (6 versus 58), total cases per 100,000 (210 versus 967). Finland's economic performance during the pandemic was also better than Sweden's.

The use of science in a crisis is essential, even when there is great uncertainty in science and uncertainty about what people and countries are going to do. Science can advise what works and what doesn't when decisions are made and actions are taken. Scientific knowledge about SARS-CoV-2 and Covid-19 has expanded rapidly, and new knowledge should influence decisions.

E. William Colglazier, Ph.D.

American Association for the Advancement of Science

McLean, Va.

*************

"Mr. Ridley admonishes us that the only way to be absolutely certain that a scientific statement is reliable is to examine the evidence for yourself. I would be interested to know how he would suggest the layperson prepare for it, analyze and review such medical information. "

James Wilbur Mimbs, M.D.

Edgefield, S.C.

*************

"To any billboard that says," Science is real, "I want to add," and complicated. "

Jim Mayhall

Lake Bluff, Ill.

*************

"Mr. Ridley's essay should be read for all experts and governors. Science cannot determine whether or not. It only informs our decisions, which must ultimately be based on values ​​and preferences. There is no" right "balance between freedom and Wisdom, and the rules that achieve that balance, must be worked out through negotiation and compromise, which makes it all the more frustrating when leaders use "science" as a justification for long-term suspension of our democratic process, as if their decisions would be somehow objective and therefore indisputable. It is equally frustrating when the public accepts this abuse of science and disenfranchises itself. "

Theodore Zachary

Detroit

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